A Patriots Manifest June 27 2008
William White
I was replying to one of Mike’s 9/11 posts on a forum and it occurred to me that there is an interesting unexplored implication.
If 9/11 was a conspiracy then the conspirators want to provide irrefutable proof that the terrorists did it.
If 9/11 was terrorism then the terrorists want to refute the CTs conclusively.
This is a single goal no matter where you come from.
OK a Democratically controlled congress for the next 2 years is in the bag no matter who wins the White House. A terrorist attack this fall would increase the likelihood of CT being credited for 9/11 because it would increase the likelihood of McCain being elected and it is already being talked about as a likely happening. This does not work for either group of culprits in advancing their agenda. Whether McCain or Obama take office in the fall, and my money is on Obama, they will be a failed president by the time of the off-year election in 2010. An attack in 2010 will have zero political effect:
Patience will have run out on the Ds in congress so the number of seats that will be lost could be computed to +/- 2 for the senate and +/- 20 for the House now if anyone cared to do so. The congressional majority almost always suffers losses in an off-year election. So anything short of massive economic success and dramatic foreign policy triumph will see the Ds turned out of congress. Since the probability percentage of either victory condition being met is in the low single digits and this is a conjoint probability there is a less than 1% probability of democratic success. (For those of you who have forgotten if two 9% probabilities have to be met for success then the probability of success is 0.81%. For the Dems in 2010 holding on to any effectively opposed seats or gaining any opposition seats in congress will be about 1-5%/seat so 2-10 seats plus unopposed seats will be what they will get.)
The preliminary census data will be out, reapportionment plans will already be on the table and the net loss for the Ds in 2012 will be known. Basically the Dems south of the Ohio/Potomac or west of the Mississippi will be put into 90+% D cages or 50% Republican districts except for the left coast on both the state and federal level. This process will be reversed for the mostly Democratic states that will be losing population.
The second 9/11 will be in a Dem stronghold because that is where the soft, high value targets are.
The lack of political affect and the fact that no American would assume that any partisan advantage could be gained by a 10/10 because it can’t is why such an attack will make such a convincing rebuttal of the 9/11 truth movement. Therefore there is a very high probability of a 10/10 attack.